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An AI worm reached all eight machines in a sealed test. Is your security ready for what that means?

Self-replicating AI “worms”: what Anthropic actually showed

A viral headline turned a conditional lab estimate into a dated forecast. Here is what the research really found.

Questions this article answers

  1. Will AI worms spread across smart devices by the end of 2026?
  2. What is an AI worm?
  3. Can AI self-replicate?
  4. How do I secure smart TVs and IoT devices from hackers?

Should Ask Questions

SAQ: the questions you should be asking (and nobody is)

  1. Does the headline you read say the same thing as the source?
  2. Is what you are reading a forecast or a conditional estimate?
  3. Is an AI worm really the biggest threat you face?
  4. Do the connected devices in your home still have their factory passwords?
WatchVideo summary

A headline circulating on Instagram says Anthropic warns that self-replicating AI “worms” could spread across smart devices by the end of 2026. The quoted passages are real. The headline is not what the research says.

This article checks the claim against the original Anthropic post, explains what the experiments did and did not show, sets them against prior work and expert reactions, and ends with the official security guidance that applies to any household or business. It is the documented-versus-viral pattern in miniature. Our own opinion is labelled as Monarchy’s view.

01Self-replicating AI "worms": what Anthropic actually showed

A Ground News post circulating on Instagram carries the headline "Anthropic warns self-replicating AI 'worms' could spread across smart devices by end of 2026." The passages it quotes come from a real Anthropic research post, "AI models may be capable of self-replicating without access to a datacenter," published on 12 October 2026 by William Zhou and Daniel Freeman of Anthropic's Frontier Red Team 1. We checked the four quoted passages against the original. They match except for punctuation: a dash became a comma, and the quotation marks around "AI worm" were dropped. The headline does not match. Anthropic's timing is conditional: "If small models improve at their historical rate, they'll match this capability level by the end of this year." It describes the trend line behind that estimate, which uses a general capability index, as "only a rough estimate" 1. The headline turns a conditional estimate about capability into a dated forecast about spread.

From the video summary: An AI worm reached all eight machines in a sealed test. Is your security ready for what that means?
From the video summary

What the experiments did

  • Ran Google's Gemma4-26B-A4B model split across 15 off-brand Android TV boxes (about $55 each, 4GB of memory) at 0.39 tokens per second.
  • Tested whether open-weight models could get a model running on unfamiliar hardware. A 9B model did so on 8 of 9 hardware types. The post names Qwen3.5-9B among small models that managed this on hardware "from Jetson Nanos to Mac PCs and RTX 4090s".
  • Ran a "simplified" end-to-end test. A worm hopped across eight emulated Android machines in a sealed-off cloud network, through a port that required no password, and had to set up a separate 8B model (Llama3.1-8B), not itself. Only GLM-5.2 completed the task, reaching all eight machines in four of five trials and seven in the fifth. The worm's own model ran on an outside server because the test machines were too small to host it.
  • GLM-5.2 is not a small model. Z.ai (formerly Zhipu AI) released it as open weights under an MIT licence in June 2026, listed at 744 billion parameters 23. Anthropic's argument is that a future small model with GLM-5.2's ability could do the same.

Anthropic states its own limits

The hacking step was kept "trivial", which makes the result "an upper bound on real-world success", although it notes that past botnets such as Mirai spread using default passwords. It expects a TV-box replicator to be slow ("over 1-2 days per 9B replication") and to leave traffic patterns internet providers could spot. It lists quarantine by providers and secure-by-default products as defences, and says: "We don't yet have a full rogue replicator" 1.

From the video summary: An AI worm reached all eight machines in a sealed test. Is your security ready for what that means?
From the video summary

Prior work

"Autonomous replication and adaptation" was framed by the Alignment Research Center's evaluations team, now METR. In 2023 it found that agents could complete only the easiest of 12 such tasks 4. (Conflict flag: METR is now embedded at Anthropic and co-wrote source 5.) In December 2024, Fudan University researchers reported that agents built on Llama3.1-70B and Qwen2.5-72B made a working copy of themselves in 50% and 90% of ten trials when told to "replicate yourself" 6. Morris II (March 2024) showed a worm built from self-replicating prompts spreading between AI email assistants 7. The "prior work" Anthropic links on AI agents acting as worms is a June 2026 paper, "AI Agents Enable Adaptive Computer Worms," whose worm spread across Linux, Windows and IoT machines on a test network 8.

Reactions

Michael Bailey (Georgia Tech) told Scientific American, "We already had self-replicating malware … We had botnets," and cautioned against "fearmongering". Vyas Sekar (Carnegie Mellon) called these "classical computer security threats" but warned of a "democratization of being evil" 9. Jonas Guan, a co-author of the June 2026 paper, told the Guardian that an AI worm should not top anyone's list of fears and that Anthropic's version moves very slowly. Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade of SentinelOne called it "nifty stunt hacking". Joshua Saxe, who led Meta's AI security effort, said the security community is not taking such risks "as seriously as they should be" 10. Anthropic sells AI models, including the frontier model it used as an "advisor" in one test (Opus 4.8). The models tested as worms were open-weight models from other developers. The post does not link its findings to Anthropic's Responsible Scaling Policy 111.

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Adapted from “Things to Know: What the July 2026 Hugging Face Incident Teaches About AI Checking AI”, a Monarchy briefing (October 2026). Sources are listed below; where a source is quoted, the quotation is reproduced as published.


Sources

  1. Anthropic (W. Zhou, D. Freeman, Frontier Red Team), "AI models may be capable of self-replicating without access to a datacenter," 12 October 2026. https://www.anthropic.com/research/self-replicating-ai
  2. Z.ai, "GLM-5.2: Built for Long-Horizon Tasks" (blog) and zai-org/GLM-5 model table (744B-A40B). https://z.ai/blog/glm-5.2 ; https://github.com/zai-org/GLM-5
  3. VentureBeat, "Z.ai's open-weights GLM-5.2 beats GPT-5.5 on multiple long-horizon coding benchmarks…," 16 June 2026. https://venturebeat.com/technology/z-ais-open-weights-glm-5-2-beats-gpt-5-5-on-multiple-long-horizon-coding-benchmarks-for-1-6th-the-cost
  4. M. Kinniment et al. (Alignment Research Center, Evaluations Team), "Evaluating Language-Model Agents on Realistic Autonomous Tasks," arXiv:2312.11671, 18 December 2023. https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.11671 ; METR, "ARC Evals is now METR," 4 December 2023. https://metr.org/blog/2023-12-04-metr-announcement/
  5. METR and Redwood Research (H. Wijk, A. Cotra, R. Greenblatt), "Brief independent investigation of agents' behavior, reasoning and collaboration in the OpenAI / Hugging Face hacking incident," 26 August 2026. https://metr.org/hugging-face-incident-report-aug-2026.pdf
  6. X. Pan, J. Dai, Y. Fan, M. Yang (Fudan University), "Frontier AI systems have surpassed the self-replicating red line," arXiv:2412.12140, 9 December 2024. https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.12140
  7. S. Cohen, R. Bitton, B. Nassi, "Here Comes The AI Worm: Unleashing Zero-click Worms that Target GenAI-Powered Applications" (Morris II), arXiv:2403.02817, March 2024. https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.02817
  8. J. Guan et al., "AI Agents Enable Adaptive Computer Worms," arXiv:2606.03811, 2 June 2026. https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.03811
  9. Scientific American, "Anthropic's AI worm research raises new fears about smart device security," 15 October 2026. https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/anthropics-ai-worm-research-raises-new-fears-about-smart-device-security/
  10. The Guardian, "What are self-replicating 'AI worms', and why is Anthropic worried about them?," 18 October 2026. https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/oct/18/anthropic-ai-worm-worries
  11. Anthropic, "Responsible Scaling Policy" (current version 3.4, effective 8 July 2026). https://www.anthropic.com/responsible-scaling-policy ; "Responsible Scaling Policy Version 3.0," 24 February 2026. https://www.anthropic.com/news/responsible-scaling-policy-v3
  12. US Federal Trade Commission, "Securing Your Internet-Connected Devices at Home" (accessed 25 October 2026). https://consumer.ftc.gov/articles/securing-your-internet-connected-devices-home
  13. CISA, "Securing the Internet of Things (IoT)" (accessed 25 October 2026). https://www.cisa.gov/news-events/news/securing-internet-things-iot
  14. NIST, IR 8425, "Profile of the IoT Core Baseline for Consumer IoT Products," September 2022. https://csrc.nist.gov/pubs/ir/8425/final

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